Forecasting and Trend Analysis
This course is an intuitive introduction to forecasting and analysis of time-series data. We will review a range of standard forecasting methods, including ARIMA and exponential smoothing, along with standard means of measuring forecast error and benchmarking with naive forecasts, and standard pre-processing/de-trending methods such as differencing and missing value imputation. Other topics will include trend/seasonality/noise decomposition, autocorrelation, visualisation of time series, and forecasting with uncertainty.